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Power Bank Sharing ROI: Payback Within 12 Months (EBITDA-Based, Beginner-Friendly, with Excel)

Tina
Market Researcher
October 17, 2025

We use a transparent EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization)-based static payback model focused on real cash recovery speed. With conservative, verifiable inputs—2.2 rentals/station/day, $2 ticket, 20% venue share, 3% gateway fee, and one-time software $7,500—the downloadable Excel returns ~200.9 days (~6.7 months). Scenarios within 12 months are preloaded.

Part 1. Why payback is the real decision-maker?

Payback dictates momentum and budgeting cadence. A fast and auditable metric enables operator confidence, smoother venue negotiations, and shorter internal approvals.

Our definition (clear & verifiable):

For “thickness” of returns, pair payback (speed) with Annualized ROI or project IRR/NPV.

Part 2. Standardized model: inputs, outputs, and formulas (with beginner notes)

2.1 What to fill (green cells in the Excel “Inputs”)

Deployment & ticket

Commercial terms

Daily Opex (already daily)

One-time CAPEX

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Tips:

If rentals/station/day is uncertain, pilot and calibrate after 2–4 weeks of live data.

2.2 What the sheet calculates

Default example baked into the Excel

Part 3. Scenario benchmarks: mall vs. restaurant vs. hotel

Use these as directional templates and validate locally in the Excel.

Mall (flagship) — conservative

Restaurant street (cluster) — conservative

Hotel (steady premium) — conservative

Part 4. Sensitivity: utilization & revenue share drive payback the most

Two high-leverage dials:

What to do

Part 5. 8 practical ways to hit a within-12-months payback

1. First-sight placement & signage: entries, queues, cashier lines—visibility converts.
2. Negotiate share with evidence: trade coverage + co-op media for a fair 25–30% venue share.
3. Simple pricing UX: unified start fee (e.g., $2) + venue-specific hourly tiers; AB test.
4. Availability discipline: remote monitoring + swift replenishment; you can’t monetize an empty slot.
5. Cluster selling: bundle ads across a mall corridor or F&B street to lift ads/device.
6. Optimize gateway economics: mix channels to stay near ~3% effective fee.
7. Right-sized fleet: enough density for ops and media leverage, but avoid over-deployment that dilutes rentals/station.
8. Monthly “under-performers” list: relocate, re-price, or upgrade placement.

Part 6. FAQ

Q1: What exactly do you mean by “payback within 12 months”?

It’s EBITDA-based static payback focused on cash recovery speed:
Payback (days) = CAPEX ÷ Daily net operating profit, where daily net ≈ revenue after venue share & gateway fees minus daily opex (labor, SIM, SMS, per-order battery depreciation, software maintenance). We exclude chassis depreciation because of the free-replacement policy; battery packs are expensed per order.

Q2: Which inputs move payback the most?

1. Rentals/station/day (utilization proxy),
2. Venue revenue share
3. Ticket price
4. Gateway fee. A −5pp venue-share improvement (e.g., 25% → 20%) can rival a +0.2 to +0.3 gain in rentals/station/day.

Q3: What’s the difference between payback and ROI/IRR?

Payback = recovery speed (cash focus).
ROI / IRR = return thickness and time value.
Use payback for market communication and deployment pacing; use ROI/IRR for investment committee decisions.

Part 7. Next steps